2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

What you need to know

This market asks: who will win the 2026 US Open men's singles tennis title? Each listed player — Sinner, Alcaraz, Djokovic — has their own Yes/No question, and the market currently places Jannik Sinner as the strong favorite at roughly 48%, with Carlos Alcaraz second at 20% and Novak Djokovic at 6%. The remaining roughly 26% is the combined chance that someone not listed — another player entirely — wins the tournament. This settles simply on whoever lifts the trophy at Flushing Meadows in New York at the end of the tournament, which runs August 23 to September 13, 2026. The official US Open website is the primary source. If a listed player withdraws or is disqualified before winning, their individual market resolves No. If the tournament is cancelled or has no winner declared before October 31, 2026, everything resolves to a special 'Other' outcome — meaning no one wins the market in the normal sense. None of the provided news headlines relate to tennis or this tournament. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kinds of developments worth watching for would be player injuries, form results from the hard-court season leading into the US Open (late summer 2026), or any fitness concerns for the top names. Tennis Grand Slams are genuinely hard to predict because a single injury, an off day, or a tough draw can eliminate even the best player before the final. The market strongly favors Sinner, reflecting his recent dominance on hard courts, but a 48% implied probability still means the market sees him losing more often than not. Alcaraz has shown he can beat anyone. Djokovic, despite his age, remains dangerous. And roughly one in four outcomes, per the market, goes to a player not even listed here.

The odds right now

• Jannik Sinner+4.0 pts (1w)48%
• Carlos Alcaraz-2.5 pts (1w)20%
• Novak Djokovic+0.7 pts (1w)6%
• Taylor Fritz+2.6 pts (1w)5%
• Alexander Zverev-0.3 pts (1w)5%
• Ben Shelton+0.9 pts (1w)3%
• Daniil Medvedev+0.3 pts (1w)3%
• Joao Fonseca+0.8 pts (1w)3%
• Jakub Mensik-0.5 pts (1w)2%
• Jack Draper+0.2 pts (1w)2%
• Arthur Fils-0.1 pts (1w)1%
• Felix Auger Aliassime-0.3 pts (1w)1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 13, 2026

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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