2nd largest company end of June?

What you need to know

This market is asking which company will be the second most valuable in the world — by total stock market value — at the close of trading on June 30, 2026. Right now, the top spots globally are contested among a handful of giant tech companies. A 'Yes' for Alphabet means Google's parent company sits in that second-place slot; a 'Yes' for Apple means Apple holds it; NVIDIA is a distant third option. First place is not in question here — only who finishes second. On June 30, 2026, after markets close for the day, whoever runs this market will look at the total market capitalization — meaning the total value of all shares outstanding — of the world's biggest companies. Whichever company ranks second on that day wins. The decision will be based on a consensus of credible financial reporting, not a single source. One edge case worth knowing: if two companies are extremely close in value, the margin between them on that single day could matter a lot. One relevant signal in the provided news: there has been a recent sell-off in AI stocks on Wall Street, with Asian markets also slipping as a result. This is relevant because Alphabet, Apple, and NVIDIA are all sensitive to AI-related investor sentiment. A sustained drop in AI enthusiasm could shift the rankings between these companies. The other headlines in the news feed are unrelated to this market. Three weeks remain until the deadline, and stock rankings at this level can shift quickly. Alphabet currently leads the market's implied odds at 60%, with Apple at 38% — so this is genuinely competitive, not a foregone conclusion. A broad market move, an earnings surprise, a policy announcement, or a sudden shift in AI sentiment could push either company past the other. The recent AI stock sell-off adds real near-term noise. The gap between first and third place (NVIDIA at 4%) is much wider.

The odds right now

• Alphabet+29.5 pts (1w)60%
• Apple-29.5 pts (1w)38%
• NVIDIA+1.1 pts (1w)4%
• Amazon0%
• Microsoft0%
• Saudi Aramco0%
• Broadcom0%
• Tesla0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 30, 2026

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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