Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
What you need to know
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
The odds right now
- 45%+-28.0 pts (1w)47%
- 50%++3.0 pts (1w)20%
- 55%++7.1 pts (1w)12%
Price history
45%+
How this resolves
Resolves June 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Related
Other outcomes in this market
- 45%+47%
- 50%+20%
- 55%+12%
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