Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

51%cryptoUpdated 13 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking whether a specific U.S. crypto law actually gets passed and signed before the end of 2026. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R.3633) is a bill in Congress designed to create clearer rules for how cryptocurrencies and digital assets are regulated in the United States. A Yes means it completes the full journey — passes the House, passes the Senate, and the President signs it — all within this year. A No means it stalls or falls short anywhere along that path. For this to settle as Yes, three things must all happen by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM Eastern Time: the House passes the bill, the Senate passes the bill, and the President signs it into law. All three steps are required — passing just one chamber is not enough. The market will check Congress.gov's official tracking page to confirm, and may also use credible news reporting. If any step is missing, or the deadline passes, it resolves No. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The kind of developments worth watching would be: committee votes advancing the bill, the Senate scheduling a floor vote, any public statement from the White House about signing or opposing it, or news that the bill is being significantly rewritten or delayed. The market sits almost exactly at 50/50, which honestly reflects how genuinely uncertain this is. Major financial legislation in the U.S. frequently stalls — a bill passing the House is a real milestone, but the Senate operates on a different timeline and has its own competing priorities. Crypto regulation has been debated for years without becoming law. The deadline is real and tight. Even bills with broad support can miss a year-end cutoff due to unrelated political gridlock or last-minute disagreements over details.