Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will Elon Musk post on X in one specific week? The three buckets — 180–199, 200–219, and 220–239 posts — represent ranges of his posting activity from July 7 to July 14, 2026. A 'Yes' for any bucket means his total lands in that range. The market is essentially crowd-sourcing a guess at Musk's weekly posting pace, which historically has been very high — somewhere around 200-plus posts per week is what the market currently treats as most likely. A dedicated third-party tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com counts every qualifying post Musk makes during the exact window: July 7 at 12:00 PM ET through July 14 at 12:00 PM ET. Original posts, quote posts, and reposts all count. Regular replies do not count, but replies that appear on his main feed do. Deleted posts count if the tracker catches them within about five minutes of posting. Whatever the tracker's final 'Post Counter' number shows at the close of that window determines which bucket wins. None of the recent news provided relates to Elon Musk's posting activity this week. There are no headlines about unusual events — travel, health, or major announcements — that would suggest his posting pace is dramatically different from normal. To track this in real time, the most useful thing to watch is the live counter at xtracker.polymarket.com, which updates as the week progresses. Musk's posting volume can swing sharply based on what's happening in the news, his mood, or whether he's traveling. A slow week or an intense news cycle can push the count dozens of posts in either direction. The three leading buckets are spread across a 60-post range, and the market shows meaningful probability across all of them, reflecting genuine week-to-week unpredictability. Because this market ends on July 14, 2026, anyone engaging with it mid-week does have partial data available — but the final days can still shift things considerably.

The odds right now

• 200-219+23.0 pts (1w)39%
• 220-239+14.1 pts (1w)27%
• 180-199+2.7 pts (1w)19%
• 240-259+0.6 pts (1w)10%
• 260-279-2.6 pts (1w)3%
• 160-179-13.1 pts (1w)1%
• 280-299-1.5 pts (1w)1%
• 300-319-1.7 pts (1w)0%
• 320-339-0.9 pts (1w)0%
• 140-159-10.4 pts (1w)0%
• 340-359-0.5 pts (1w)0%
• 360-379-0.3 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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