Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will Elon Musk post on X over a 48-hour window, from noon on June 11 to noon on June 13, 2026? The three options are low activity (40–64 posts), moderate activity (65–89 posts), or high activity (90–114 posts). To picture the scale: 40–64 posts over 48 hours means roughly one post every 45–72 minutes on average; 90+ posts means he's posting more than once every 30 minutes around the clock. A third-party tracking tool called xtracker.polymarket.com automatically counts Musk's posts during the window. Original posts, quote posts, and reposts all count. Replies generally do not — but if a reply appears on his main feed (not nested under another post), it does count. Deleted posts also count, as long as the tracker caught them within roughly five minutes of posting. Whichever count range that tracker lands on is the one that settles — resolves — as Yes. The only clearly relevant headline is a piece about Musk's Starbase facility from June 10, 2026 — the day before the window opens. The other headlines appear unrelated to Musk. Nothing in the provided news signals an unusually busy or quiet period for his posting, but major news events involving Musk or his companies tend to spike his activity, so watching for that kind of development would be worth noting. Musk's posting habits are genuinely unpredictable from day to day. His volume can swing dramatically based on mood, news events, political developments, or product launches — none of which are knowable in advance. The market currently leans toward the 40–64 range (51%), with moderate activity second at 36%, so participants aren't treating high-volume posting as the base case. But a single big news event or public dispute can easily push his count into a higher bracket without warning.

The odds right now

• 40-6451%
• 65-8937%
• 90-1146%
• <406%
• 115-1392%
• 140-1640%
• 240+0%
• 215-2390%
• 165-1890%
• 190-2140%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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