Elon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will Elon Musk post on X (formerly Twitter) in one specific week? The window is exactly seven days, from noon on June 5 to noon on June 12, 2026. The three leading options — 200–219, 220–239, and 240–259 posts — give you a sense of the scale: we're talking about roughly 28 to 37 posts per day on average, which reflects how frequently Musk is known to use the platform. The final count comes from a specific public tracker called xtracker.polymarket.com, which automatically logs Musk's posts during the window. Only original posts, quote posts, and reposts on his main feed count — regular replies do not. One important edge case: deleted posts still count if the tracker captured them within about five minutes of posting. The market settles (is decided) whichever bracket his total falls into when the window closes at noon ET on June 12. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to this market — they cover Irish politics, Sri Lankan tech policy, Pakistani finance, and energy regulation. No recent information about Musk's posting activity or anything likely to affect it was included. The kind of news that would actually matter here is anything that might drive Musk to post more or less than usual: a major business event, a political controversy he's involved in, or a period of travel where he historically goes quieter. Musk's posting volume is genuinely unpredictable week to week. A single news cycle, a company announcement, or a political fight can cause his daily post count to spike or drop sharply. The market is spread fairly evenly across three brackets — 220–239 at 33%, 200–219 at 28%, 240–259 at 21% — which signals that even people tracking this closely don't agree. One quiet stretch or one unusually active day can push the total across a bracket boundary, making this hard to call even as the window is already underway.

The odds right now

• 220-239+25.7 pts (1w)35%
• 200-219+14.0 pts (1w)27%
• 240-259+12.9 pts (1w)21%
• 260-279+1.3 pts (1w)8%
• 180-199-8.0 pts (1w)7%
• 280-299-2.1 pts (1w)2%
• 300-319-1.7 pts (1w)1%
• 160-179-16.2 pts (1w)0%
• 320-339-1.4 pts (1w)0%
• 140-159-13.5 pts (1w)0%
• 340-359-1.2 pts (1w)0%
• 360-379-0.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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