Elon Musk # tweets June 8 - June 10, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will Elon Musk post on X (formerly Twitter) over a 48-hour window, from noon on June 8 to noon on June 10, 2026? The three buckets are: a moderate amount (40–64 posts), a higher amount (65–89 posts), or a very high amount (90–114 posts). To picture the scale — 65 posts over 48 hours means roughly one post every 44 minutes, around the clock. At the end of the window (June 10 at 12:00 PM ET), a post-tracking tool at xtracker.polymarket.com counts Musk's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts. Replies don't count — unless they appear directly on his main feed. Deleted posts still count if they were captured within about five minutes of being posted. Whichever bucket (40–64, 65–89, or 90–114) matches the final count is the one that resolves as Yes. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to this market. What would actually matter here is anything that might make Musk unusually active or quiet on X during those specific 48 hours — for example, a major news event he might react to, a product launch, or a political moment he tends to engage with heavily. Musk's posting volume is genuinely hard to predict because it follows no fixed schedule — it depends heavily on his mood, what's happening in the news, and whether something catches his attention. The market is almost evenly split between the 40–64 and 65–89 buckets, which tells you even people watching this closely see it as a real toss-up. A single viral controversy or a quiet weekend could swing the count significantly in either direction.

The odds right now

• 65-8954%
• 40-6444%
• 90-1142%
• 115-1390%
• 240+0%
• 140-1640%
• 165-1890%
• 190-2140%
• 215-2390%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 10, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Related

Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.