Highest Domestically Grossing May Film on June 30?

What you need to know

This market is asking: which May 2026 movie will have earned the most money at U.S. and Canadian theaters by June 30, 2026? Right now, two films are the real contenders — a movie called 'Obsession' and a sequel called 'The Devil Wears Prada 2.' A Yes on one of them means that film outsells every other May 2026 release by the end of June. It's essentially a race between these titles measured purely in ticket sales. The winner is whichever May 2026 film has the highest total domestic (U.S. and Canada) box office earnings from its opening through June 30, 2026, using daily figures from the tracking site The Numbers. If that data isn't available by July 15, 2026, the market operators will use another trusted source. The only edge case: if two films earn the exact same amount — extremely unlikely — the one that comes first alphabetically wins. The most relevant news here is a June 11 report that 'Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu' dominated with $158 million domestically. That film is relevant context because a massive Star Wars opening in the same general window could compete for the same moviegoing dollars — though whether it released in May or another month, and whether it affects the listed contenders, is worth watching. The biggest unknown is simply how well each film actually performs when it opens. Box office results depend on reviews, word of mouth, competition from other releases, and timing — none of which are fully predictable in advance. The market strongly favors 'Obsession' at 87%, so the main question isn't really 'who wins' but 'does something unexpected happen' — a surprise flop, a competing hit, or 'The Devil Wears Prada 2' outperforming expectations. That's the real risk to watch.

The odds right now

• Obsession+53.3 pts (1w)89%
• The Devil Wears Prada 2-23.1 pts (1w)11%
• Backrooms-14.7 pts (1w)0%
• The Mandalorian and Grogu-0.9 pts (1w)0%
• Mortal Kombat II-0.3 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 30, 2026

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in May 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and June 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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