Highest temperature in Ankara on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 13, 2026, what will the hottest point of the day be in Ankara, Turkey? The three options are a peak temperature of 21°C or lower (roughly 70°F or below), exactly 22°C (about 72°F), or exactly 23°C (about 73°F). Think of it as guessing whether that day in Ankara will feel like a mild spring afternoon, a warm one, or a slightly warmer one — the difference between these options is just a degree or two. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport weather station on June 13, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The temperature is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. One important edge case: the market cannot officially close until the first data point from June 14 appears on that site, confirming the day is complete. Any late corrections to the June 13 data are accepted up until that first June 14 reading appears. The two recent headlines provided — one about a temple visit in India and one about university partnerships in Qatar — have no connection to Ankara's weather or this market. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development worth watching would be a detailed weather forecast for Ankara in the days leading up to June 13, 2026. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this market resolves over a year from now, so any forecast today is essentially a guess based on historical averages. The market currently prices a cool outcome (21°C or below) as most likely at 47%, which reflects that mid-June in Ankara can still bring mild days. But a single degree separates the three options, meaning a slightly warmer or cooler day than average shifts the outcome entirely. That razor-thin margin makes this especially sensitive to small forecast errors.

The odds right now

• 21°C or below40%
• 22°C39%
• 23°C14%
• 24°C8%
• 25°C1%
• 27°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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