Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 15, 2026, what will the hottest reading of the day be at Austin's main airport weather station? The answer gets sorted into a temperature range — the three leading options are 80–81°F, 82–83°F, and 84–85°F. A 'Yes' for any range simply means the peak temperature that day landed inside those two degrees. Think of it as picking which notch on a thermometer Austin hits at its warmest point that specific day. After June 15, 2026 ends, the market looks up the single highest temperature recorded that day at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on Weather Underground — a well-known weather data site. Whatever whole-degree number that reading shows, the range containing it wins. The data can still be revised until the first reading from June 16 is posted; after that, the number is locked in. There's no judgment call — it's a direct read from one specific source. None of the provided news headlines relate to Austin weather, Texas climate conditions, or meteorology in any way. There isn't relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch for is any extended weather forecast for Austin in mid-June 2026, or updates from the National Weather Service about unusual heat patterns in central Texas as the date approaches. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this market resolves over a year from now — making precision nearly impossible today. Mid-June in Austin is reliably hot, which is why the market clusters around the low-to-mid 80s, but a passing cold front, an unusually strong heat dome, or cloud cover could easily shift the peak by several degrees. The difference between an 82°F day and an 85°F day can come down to whether a single storm system shows up or not.

The odds right now

• 82-83°F34%
• 84-85°F22%
• 80-81°F21%
• 86-87°F6%
• 78-79°F3%
• 88-89°F3%
• 76-77°F1%
• 90-91°F1%
• 74-75°F0%
• 92°F or higher0%
• 73°F or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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