Highest temperature in Beijing on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Beijing get on June 13, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at Beijing's main international airport — and whether that peak lands at 27°C or below, exactly 28°C, or exactly 29°C. In everyday terms, 27°C feels like a warm late-spring day (about 81°F), while 29°C is noticeably hotter, closer to a humid summer afternoon around 84°F. After June 13, 2026 ends, whoever runs this market checks the Weather Underground website for the Beijing Capital International Airport station and reads the highest temperature logged that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whatever bucket that number falls into — 27°C or below, 28°C, or 29°C — wins. One important detail: the reading is locked in once the first data point for June 14 appears on that site. Any corrections made after that cutoff are ignored. None of the recent news provided relates to Beijing weather or temperature forecasts. No relevant updates were available at the time this was written. The thing most worth watching as June 13 approaches would be short-range weather forecasts for Beijing, particularly any meteorological alerts about early summer heat waves or unusual cold fronts moving through northern China. Early-to-mid June in Beijing is genuinely variable — the city sits in a transition zone between spring and summer, and a single passing weather system can shift the daily high by several degrees. The market currently prices a 73% chance the peak stays at 27°C or below, suggesting participants lean cooler, but weather forecasting beyond a day or two carries real uncertainty. The margin between outcome buckets here is just one degree, so even a small shift in conditions could change the result entirely.

The odds right now

• 27°C or below79%
• 28°C18%
• 29°C3%
• 30°C1%
• 31°C1%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 37°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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