Highest temperature in Beijing on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the highest temperature be in Beijing on June 14, 2026 — and specifically, which degree Celsius it lands on. Think of it like guessing the peak reading on a thermometer that day. The leading options are 30°C (86°F), 29°C (85°F), and 31°C (88°F), but other temperatures are possible too. There's no Yes or No here — it's a multiple-choice market where one specific temperature reading wins. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Beijing Capital International Airport (station code ZBAA) on June 14, 2026, pulled from the weather site Wunderground. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — so 30.7°C would count as 30°C, not 31°C. The result is locked in once the first data point for June 15 appears on that site. Any corrections Wunderground makes before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Since it's about a specific day over a year from now, the kind of development that would matter most is simply getting closer to that date — long-range seasonal forecasts for Beijing in mid-June, or unusual climate patterns emerging in the months before, would be the things worth watching. Weather more than a year in advance is genuinely impossible to predict with precision. Even professional forecasters can't reliably call a specific temperature until a few days out. Beijing in mid-June typically sees warm weather, but any given day can vary by several degrees depending on wind, cloud cover, and weather systems passing through. The spread across the top three options — 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C — reflects that honest uncertainty, with no outcome commanding strong confidence.

The odds right now

• 29°C28%
• 30°C27%
• 28°C17%
• 31°C13%
• 27°C6%
• 32°C5%
• 33°C1%
• 26°C1%
• 34°C or higher1%
• 25°C1%
• 24°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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