Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 15, 2026, what will be the warmest temperature of the day at Buenos Aires's main international airport? June 15 falls in the middle of winter in Argentina — so we're talking about mild, cool weather, not summer heat. The three options — 13°C, 14°C, and 15°C — are all close together, roughly the difference between a cool autumn day and a slightly warmer one. Think jacket weather, not coat weather. The market settles based on one specific number: the single highest temperature recorded at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (also called Ezeiza) on June 15, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. Whatever whole-degree Celsius reading is the daily high that day determines the winner. The data must appear on that site before the result is locked in. If Weather Underground shows a peak of exactly 14°C, for example, the 14°C option wins — no rounding up or down. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Since the date is still well in the future, the key thing to watch closer to June 15, 2026 would be weather forecasts for Buenos Aires — specifically any forecast for the Ezeiza airport area showing the expected daily high temperature for that day. Three options separated by just one degree each make this genuinely hard to call. Buenos Aires winters are variable — a cold front or a brief warm spell can easily shift the daily high by a degree or two. The market currently splits most of its weight between 13°C and 14°C, with 15°C seen as less likely, but these are very tight margins. A single day's weather a year out is almost impossible to predict with confidence, and even short-range forecasts can miss by a degree.

The odds right now

• 13°C37%
• 14°C37%
• 15°C25%
• 12°C5%
• 11°C1%
• 16°C1%
• 10°C0%
• 17°C or higher0%
• 8°C0%
• 9°C0%
• 7°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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