Highest temperature in Busan on June 12?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, how hot will it get in Busan, South Korea? Specifically, will the day's peak temperature hit 28°C, 29°C, or 30°C? The reading comes from a weather station at Gimhae International Airport, which sits just outside Busan. A Yes on 29°C means the hottest moment of that day lands exactly at 29 — not 28, not 30. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Gimhae Airport on June 12, 2026, pulled from the Weather Underground website. Whatever whole-degree Celsius number that site shows as the day's peak — 28, 29, or 30 — is the winner. The market won't close until at least one reading from June 13 appears on that site, confirming the previous day is complete. Fractions don't matter; the source rounds to whole degrees. No recent news was provided that relates to this market. Since this is a weather question about a specific day more than a year away, the kind of development that would matter is a long-range seasonal forecast for South Korea's early summer — but those forecasts become meaningful only as June 2026 approaches. Long-range weather forecasting is genuinely hard, and a single degree of difference is a very narrow target. The market currently leans toward 29°C (56%), with 28°C close behind (39%), and 30°C a distant third. But June 12, 2026 is over a year away — no forecast today can reliably pin down one specific day's peak to a single degree. A passing storm, a sea breeze off the Korea Strait, or a heat pulse could all shift the outcome. The spread between the top two options reflects that real closeness.

The odds right now

• 28°C96%
• 29°C5%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 23°C or below0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.