Highest temperature in Busan on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 15, 2026, what will the hottest part of the day feel like in Busan, South Korea? Specifically, it's trying to pin down the single peak temperature — the highest reading recorded that day — to the nearest whole degree Celsius. The options are like guessing whether the thermometer tops out at 27°C (about 81°F), 28°C (about 82°F), or 29°C (about 84°F). It's essentially a weather forecast narrowed down to one number on one specific day. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded on June 15, 2026 at Gimhae International Airport — the official weather station for the Busan area — as logged on Weather Underground. Whichever degree (27, 28, 29, or another) matches that peak reading wins. One key detail: the result is only confirmed after the first data point for June 16 appears, meaning there's a brief window where earlier readings could be revised. Once that June 16 data appears, the number is locked in permanently. There's no recent news provided that has any connection to this market. The only headline available is about a helicopter accident in Brazil, which has no bearing on Busan's weather. To track this market, the thing worth watching closer to June 15 would be South Korean weather forecasts and any regional climate patterns — like whether an early summer heat system is moving through the Korean Peninsula. Weather is genuinely hard to predict even a few days out, let alone a year in advance. Mid-June in Busan is early summer — historically warm but variable. The difference between 27°C and 29°C is just a couple of degrees, which can easily swing based on cloud cover, wind direction, or a passing weather system. The market currently puts 28°C at 50%, but 27°C and 29°C together account for nearly the other half. That spread reflects how tight and unpredictable a single day's peak temperature really is.

The odds right now

• 28°C50%
• 29°C34%
• 27°C14%
• 30°C5%
• 31°C1%
• 26°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C or higher0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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