Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 12?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the highest temperature be in Cape Town on June 12, 2026? Specifically, will the day's peak temperature hit 16°C, 17°C, or 18°C? June 12 falls in Cape Town's winter — the Southern Hemisphere has its cold season mid-year — so these are genuinely chilly daytime highs, not a typo. The market is essentially asking people to guess the peak of a single winter day at Cape Town's airport weather station, to the nearest whole degree. The market settles based on whatever peak temperature Weather Underground records for Cape Town International Airport on June 12, 2026 — measured in whole degrees Celsius, no decimals. Whichever temperature bracket (16°C, 17°C, or 18°C) contains that number wins. The data is locked in once the first reading from June 13 appears on the site — so any corrections made before that cutoff count, but revisions after that moment are ignored. If the high lands outside these three options entirely, that outcome would need its own bracket to resolve. There's no relevant recent news provided for this market. The one headline is about music history and has nothing to do with Cape Town's weather. What would actually matter here is short-range weather forecasts for Cape Town in mid-June 2026 — but those won't be meaningfully accurate until a week or so before the date itself. Single-day weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a week out, and this market resolves on one specific day over a year away. The three options are tightly clustered — just 2°C separates the lowest from the highest — so a small shift in wind, cloud cover, or a passing front could easily move the result from one bracket to another. The market currently splits almost evenly between 16°C and 17°C, which honestly reflects how close and unpredictable a single winter day's peak temperature can be.

The odds right now

• 18°C99%
• 19°C2%
• 20°C1%
• 21°C or higher0%
• 11°C or below0%
• 12°C0%
• 13°C0%
• 14°C0%
• 15°C0%
• 16°C0%
• 17°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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