Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how hot will Chengdu get on June 11, 2026? Specifically, it's asking for the single highest temperature reading of that day at Chengdu's Shuangliu Airport. The three options — 28°C, 29°C, or 30°C — are roughly 82°F, 84°F, and 86°F. Whichever one matches the actual peak temperature that day wins. It's a weather forecast question, nothing more complicated than that. After June 11, 2026 ends, the market checks the Weather Underground website for the highest temperature logged that day at Chengdu Shuangliu Airport (station code ZUUU). The temperature is recorded as a whole number in Celsius — no decimals. Whichever option (28°C, 29°C, or 30°C) matches that number is the winner. The market can only settle once the first data point from June 12 appears, confirming the full day is recorded. Any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. For a question like this, the kinds of things worth watching closer to the date would be long-range weather forecasts for Chengdu in early June 2026, or any unusual climate patterns over southwestern China — but those aren't available or meaningful this far in advance. Weather is genuinely hard to predict, and this question sits in a narrow three-degree band where small differences matter a lot. Early June in Chengdu typically brings warm, humid conditions, but daily highs can shift several degrees based on cloud cover, rain, or wind. The market currently leans toward 29°C (45%), with 30°C and 28°C as real contenders. With over a year until the date, no forecast model can meaningfully narrow this down yet — the spread across all three options reflects that honest uncertainty.

The odds right now

• 28°C99%
• 29°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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