Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Chengdu get on June 13, 2026? Specifically, will the day's peak temperature hit 30°C or below (roughly 86°F or cooler), exactly 31°C (about 88°F), or exactly 32°C (about 90°F)? Think of it as a poll on whether that day in Chengdu is a warm summer day, a hot one, or a very hot one — measured at the city's main international airport weather station. After June 13, 2026 ends, whoever runs this market checks the Weather Underground website for the Chengdu Shuangliu Airport station and reads the single highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to a whole number in Celsius. Whichever bracket that number falls into wins. One small detail: the market waits until the first data point from June 14 appears on that site before settling, to allow any late corrections to June 13's data to be included. No recent news relevant to this market was provided. The only headline given is about Indian politics, which has no connection to Chengdu's weather. For this market, the news that would actually matter is closer to the date: extended weather forecasts for Chengdu in mid-June 2026, or any unusual heat patterns forecast for Sichuan province that week. June weather is genuinely hard to pin down more than a few days out, let alone a year ahead. Chengdu in mid-June sits in a basin that can trap heat, but it also gets frequent cloud cover and rain that keeps temperatures down — so a single day could swing several degrees either way. The market currently prices a 61% chance the day stays at 30°C or below, reflecting that cool or mild outcomes are more common, but a hot outlier day is far from impossible.

The odds right now

• 31°C100%
• 32°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 30°C or below0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C0%
• 38°C0%
• 39°C0%
• 40°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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