Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 15, 2026, how hot will it get in Chongqing? Specifically, it wants to know which temperature bucket — 30°C, 31°C, 32°C, or something else — will match the single hottest reading of the day at one specific weather station near Chongqing's main airport. Think of it as guessing the peak afternoon temperature on one particular summer day in a famously hot Chinese city. After June 15, 2026 ends, someone checks the Weather Underground website for the Chongqing Jiangbei Airport station and reads the highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whichever temperature bucket that number falls into wins. The market waits until the first data point from June 16 appears before settling, so any last-minute corrections made before that moment still count — but corrections after that point do not. There is no recent news available that relates directly to this market. The kind of information that would matter here is seasonal weather forecasts for Chongqing in mid-June, or reports of unusual climate patterns affecting central China — but none have been provided. Closer to June 2026, local weather forecasts for that specific date would be the most relevant thing to watch. Weather on a specific future day over a year away is genuinely hard to predict — even professional meteorologists rarely forecast precise daily highs more than two weeks out with confidence. Chongqing is known as one of China's hottest cities in summer, so mid-30s are plausible, but June 15 sits early enough in the season that temperatures can vary widely. The market currently leans toward 32°C, but 30°C and 31°C each hold meaningful probability, reflecting real spread in what history shows is possible.

The odds right now

• 32°C39%
• 31°C29%
• 30°C14%
• 33°C12%
• 29°C5%
• 28°C or below2%
• 34°C1%
• 35°C1%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C0%
• 38°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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