← Markets

Highest temperature in Dallas on June 14?

32%Updated 6 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Dallas get on June 14, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at Dallas Love Field airport — and which 2-degree range that peak falls into. Think of it like guessing the hottest point of the afternoon: will the thermometer top out around 88-89°F (a warm but not extreme summer day), 90-91°F (solidly hot), or somewhere else on the range? On June 14, 2026, whoever runs this market will check Weather Underground's records for the Dallas Love Field station and find the single highest temperature logged that day, rounded to a whole number in Fahrenheit. Whichever 2-degree bracket contains that number wins — for example, if the peak is 89°F, the 88-89°F range resolves Yes. The check happens after midnight once the next day's first data point is published, and any last-minute corrections to the temperature before that cutoff count. No recent news was provided that's relevant to this market. That's normal this far out — June 2026 weather forecasts don't exist yet. What would matter closer to the date: extended forecasts from the National Weather Service for Dallas, any unusual pressure systems or heat domes forming over Texas, and historical temperature records for mid-June at Love Field. Dallas in mid-June is reliably hot, but "reliably hot" still leaves a wide spread — historical highs for that date can range from the mid-80s to over 100°F depending on the year. The market's probability is spread across several brackets, with no single range above 28%, which honestly reflects how hard it is to call a specific two-degree window more than a year out. Day-to-day weather is genuinely unpredictable that far ahead, so all brackets carry real uncertainty.

The odds right now

  • 88-89°F32%
  • 86-87°F21%
  • 90-91°F21%
  • 84-85°F10%
  • 92-93°F10%
  • 94-95°F2%
  • 96°F or higher1%
  • 82-83°F1%
  • 80-81°F0%
  • 77°F or below0%
  • 78-79°F0%

Price history

88-89°F

31%+10.0%

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

Other outcomes in this market

  • 88-89°F32%
  • 86-87°F21%
  • 90-91°F21%
  • 84-85°F10%
  • 92-93°F10%
  • 94-95°F2%
  • 96°F or higher1%
  • 82-83°F1%
  • See all 11 outcomes →

Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.

View & trade →