Highest temperature in Dallas on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple weather question: how hot will Dallas get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, it's asking for the single highest temperature of that day, measured in Fahrenheit at Dallas Love Field airport. Each answer option is a two-degree range — so the market is really asking people to guess which narrow band, like 84–85°F or 80–81°F, will contain that day's peak temperature. The winner is whichever range the actual high lands inside. On June 15, 2026, the market settles based on the official high temperature logged at Dallas Love Field Station, as shown on Weather Underground's historical records for that day. The reading must be a whole-number Fahrenheit figure. The market waits until the first data point for June 16 appears on that site before settling — that's to make sure the full day's readings are in. If the recorded high falls in, say, the 84–85°F range, that outcome wins and all others lose. No recent news or weather data was provided that's specific to this market. Since the date is over a year away, there's nothing yet to report. What would matter closer to June 15, 2026: extended forecasts from the National Weather Service for Dallas, any unusual heat patterns developing in Texas that season, and the official Weather Underground reading on the day itself. June in Dallas is reliably hot, but 'reliably hot' still covers a wide range — historical June 15 highs in Dallas have spanned from the upper 70s to over 100°F depending on the year. The market's three leading ranges (80–81, 82–83, and 84–85°F) together only account for about 77% of the odds, meaning nearly one in four chances goes to something cooler or hotter. A single weather system — a storm, a heat dome, or an unexpected cool front — can easily shift the day's high by five or more degrees.

The odds right now

• 84-85°F33%
• 82-83°F30%
• 80-81°F18%
• 86-87°F7%
• 78-79°F5%
• 88-89°F2%
• 76-77°F1%
• 90-91°F0%
• 73°F or below0%
• 92°F or higher0%
• 74-75°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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