Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Guangzhou get on June 11, 2026 — specifically, what will the single highest temperature of that day be, measured in whole degrees Celsius at the city's main airport weather station? The three options are 32°C (about 90°F), 33°C (about 91°F), or 34°C (about 93°F). A 'Yes' for any option just means the thermometer peaked at exactly that degree on that day. Right now, the market leans slightly toward 33°C being the most likely outcome. The market settles — 'resolves' — by checking the official high temperature logged for June 11, 2026 at Guangzhou Baiyun Airport on the weather site Wunderground, and matching it to one of the three options. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree, so 33.7°C would count as 34°C. The result is locked in once the first temperature reading for June 12 appears on that page. One edge case: if the airport records a temperature outside all three listed ranges — say 31°C or 35°C — that outcome isn't listed here, so check how the platform handles out-of-range results. There is no specific recent news provided for this market. For a weather question like this, what would matter most is any seasonal forecast for Guangzhou in early June 2026, or historical data showing what temperatures typically look like at that airport around that date. Guangzhou in early June is generally warm and humid, but day-to-day highs vary. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this market closes over a year from now — meaning no forecast today can reliably say what June 11, 2026 will bring. The three options are clustered tightly within a 3-degree window, so even small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or humidity on that specific day could swing the result. The market currently spreads its probability fairly evenly across all three options, which honestly reflects how uncertain a single future day's peak temperature is.

The odds right now

• 32°C73%
• 33°C19%
• 34°C2%
• 35°C0%
• 27°C or below0%
• 28°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C or higher0%
• 29°C0%
• 31°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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