Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how hot will it get in Guangzhou, China on June 14, 2026? Specifically, it's asking for the single highest temperature reading of the day at the city's Baiyun International Airport weather station. The options are whole-number temperatures in Celsius — roughly, 28°C is about 82°F, 29°C is about 84°F, and 30°C is about 86°F. The market is asking you to pick which one the thermometer will hit at its peak that day. The market settles on whichever temperature matches the peak reading recorded at Guangzhou Baiyun Airport on June 14, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. The reading is in whole degrees Celsius — no decimals. It can only officially close after the first data point from June 15 appears on that site, locking in the final number. One small edge case: if Weather Underground revises the temperature before that June 15 data arrives, the revised number counts. After that cutoff, any corrections are ignored. None of the provided news relates to this market. The only headline is about Indian politics, which has no bearing on Guangzhou's weather. To follow this market meaningfully, you'd want to watch short-range weather forecasts for Guangzhou in the days leading up to June 14 — particularly anything about heat waves, tropical air masses, or unusual weather patterns over southern China. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and a single day's peak temperature can shift based on cloud cover, wind direction, or a passing rain shower. The market currently leans toward 29°C at 41%, but 28°C and 30°C together account for about 43% of the probability, meaning the spread across neighboring temperatures is wide. June in Guangzhou is hot and humid, but daily peaks can vary by several degrees. The closer to June 14 you get, the more reliable forecasts become.

The odds right now

• 29°C34%
• 28°C31%
• 30°C23%
• 31°C13%
• 32°C2%
• 33°C or higher1%
• 23°C or below0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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