Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Guangzhou get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, it asks what the single highest temperature of that day will be at Guangzhou's Baiyun Airport weather station — and whether that peak will land at 30°C, 31°C, or 32°C and above. Think of it as picking which notch on the thermometer the hottest moment of that day touches. Mid-June in Guangzhou is deep into summer, so temperatures in this range are typical for the region. The market settles based on the highest single temperature reading recorded on June 15, 2026, at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, as logged on the Weather Underground website. Whichever option contains that exact temperature wins. One important detail: the data is rounded to whole degrees Celsius — no decimals. The market waits until the first data point from June 16 appears before finalizing, giving time for any last-minute corrections to June 15's readings. After that cutoff, no further revisions count. No relevant news was provided for this market. The one headline listed — about a Juneteenth event in Alabama — has no connection to Guangzhou weather. To watch for things that would matter here, keep an eye on short-range weather forecasts for Guangzhou as June 15, 2026 approaches, or reports of unusual heat patterns affecting southern China. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this market runs all the way to June 2026, so almost all of that uncertainty is still open. The three options are closely bunched — 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C+ together cover a spread of just a few degrees — which means a slight shift in conditions could flip the outcome. The market currently leans toward 31°C at 36%, but 30°C and 32°C+ are not far behind, reflecting real uncertainty about where exactly the peak lands.

The odds right now

• 32°C or higher100%
• 22°C or below0%
• 23°C0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.