Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple weather question: what will the highest temperature of the day be in Hong Kong on June 11, 2026? The three options — 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C — each represent a one-degree band, and whichever range contains that day's peak temperature wins. In everyday terms, 27–29°C is warm but not extreme for Hong Kong in early June — roughly the feeling of a humid, summery afternoon. The market is essentially crowdsourcing a weather forecast for one specific day. The market settles based on the official 'Absolute Daily Max' temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory for June 11, 2026 — a single number published on their public climate data page. Temperatures are measured to one decimal place, so 28.7°C would count as a 28°C reading. One important detail: only the first published figure counts. If the Observatory later corrects or revises the number, that revision is ignored. The market cannot settle until the Observatory actually publishes data for that date. None of the recent news provided is relevant to Hong Kong's weather on June 11, 2026 — the three headlines cover an Indian election ruling, a Disney+ streaming milestone, and a local US legal case. No weather forecasts or climate data for that date are available yet. What would actually matter here is a short-range weather forecast for Hong Kong issued in the days just before June 11, or historical temperature records for that date in past years. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this date is still in the future. June in Hong Kong can range from mild overcast days to hot, humid spells depending on wind direction, whether a tropical system is nearby, or simple day-to-day variation. The three leading options are clustered tightly — 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C are separated by just one degree each — so even a small shift in conditions on the day could tip the result from one category to another.

The odds right now

• 29°C37%
• 28°C35%
• 27°C14%
• 30°C13%
• 31°C3%
• 32°C1%
• 26°C1%
• 33°C or higher0%
• 23°C or below0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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