← Markets

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 12?

100%Updated 3 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Karachi? There are three possible answers — 37°C, 38°C, or 39°C — and you're essentially asking which bucket that peak temperature falls into. June is deep into Karachi's hot season, so temperatures in this range are normal. A Yes on 37°C means the day's high stays below 38°C; a Yes on 38°C means it lands exactly at 38°C; and so on. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Masroor Airbase Station in Karachi on June 12, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. The number is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — so a reading of 37.6°C would count as 38°C. The result is locked in once the first data point for June 13 appears on that site, after which any later corrections to the June 12 data are ignored. The specific weather station used is OPKC at Masroor Airbase. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of developments worth watching closer to June 2026 would be seasonal forecasts for Karachi's pre-monsoon period, or any reports of unusual heat patterns in the Arabian Sea region, which can influence how intense Karachi's early-June heat gets. At 99%, the market is strongly leaning toward 37°C, so this is not really a close call by the crowd's current read. The main remaining uncertainty is simply the natural unpredictability of a single day's weather more than a year away — long-range forecasts are genuinely unreliable at that distance. A heat spike, a sea breeze, or a shift in monsoon timing could all nudge the final reading up or down by a degree. One degree here is all it takes to change the outcome.

The odds right now

  • 37°C100%
  • 31°C or below0%
  • 32°C0%
  • 33°C0%
  • 34°C0%
  • 35°C0%
  • 36°C0%
  • 38°C0%
  • 39°C0%
  • 40°C0%
  • 41°C or higher0%

Price history

37°C

100%+75.5%

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

Other outcomes in this market

Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.

View & trade →