Highest temperature in Karachi on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Karachi get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day at one particular weather station — Masroor Airbase — and which bucket that number falls into: 33°C, 34°C, or 35°C (roughly 91°F, 93°F, or 95°F). A 'Yes' for 35°C means the day's peak hits that level; a 'Yes' for 34°C means it peaks there instead. Only one option wins. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Masroor Airbase Station on June 15, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. The reading is rounded to a whole number in Celsius — no decimals. It can only close after the first data point for June 16 appears on that site, giving a short window for any last corrections to June 15's data to be included. After that cutoff, no further revisions count. None of the provided news headlines relate to Karachi's weather or climate conditions. No relevant recent news was available for this market. The kind of development that would matter here is a seasonal weather forecast for Karachi in mid-June, or any unusual heat advisory from Pakistan's meteorological department. June in Karachi is genuinely hot, but the exact peak on any single day is hard to pin down even a day in advance. The three options are tightly clustered — just 2°C separates the lowest from the highest — so a small shift in wind, humidity, or cloud cover could swing the outcome. The market currently leans toward 35°C (41%) and 34°C (37%), with 33°C a distant third. The real uncertainty is that day-to-day variation at this scale is largely unpredictable until the day itself.

The odds right now

• 35°C38%
• 34°C35%
• 33°C14%
• 36°C8%
• 32°C4%
• 37°C2%
• 31°C0%
• 29°C or below0%
• 30°C0%
• 38°C0%
• 39°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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