Highest temperature in London on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, what will the hottest point of the day be in London — specifically at London City Airport — measured in whole degrees Celsius? Each option (20°C, 21°C, 22°C, and others) represents a possible peak temperature for that single day. Think of it as picking which number a thermometer will stop at during the warmest moment of that afternoon. After June 14, 2026 ends, the market checks Weather Underground's historical data for London City Airport (station code EGLC) and reads the single highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whatever that number is — say, 21°C — the matching option wins. One important detail: the result can be revised until the first data point for June 15 appears on that site, after which the reading is locked in permanently. No relevant recent news was provided for this market, which makes sense — it's asking about a specific day over a year from now. What would actually matter to watch closer to the date are medium-range weather forecasts for London in mid-June, and any updates from the UK Met Office about seasonal temperature outlooks for summer 2026. Weather a year out is genuinely unknowable — even professional forecasters can't reliably predict a single day's high temperature more than about two weeks in advance. The market is spread fairly evenly across 21°C (34%), 22°C (34%), and 20°C (14%), reflecting that spread honestly. London's June highs vary quite a bit year to year, and a passing weather system, a heat wave, or a cloudy day can shift the peak temperature by several degrees. The long time horizon is the dominant source of uncertainty here.

The odds right now

• 21°C36%
• 22°C36%
• 20°C14%
• 23°C9%
• 19°C5%
• 18°C1%
• 24°C1%
• 17°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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