Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how hot will it get in Los Angeles on June 14, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature of the day at LAX airport, then match it to a range — like a bracket. A 'Yes' on the 72–73°F range means the day's peak temperature lands somewhere in those two degrees, not higher or lower. It's less about a yes/no outcome and more like a multiple-choice question about the weather on one specific day. At the end of June 14, 2026, whoever runs this market checks the Weather Underground website for the LAX airport station and reads off the highest temperature recorded that day, in whole-number Fahrenheit. Whichever bracket that number falls into — 70–71°F, 72–73°F, or 74–75°F — wins. The check happens after the first data point for June 15 appears on that site, locking in the final reading. Any small corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to this market. They cover Singaporean food products and a California bond ETF — neither touches weather in Los Angeles. To follow what actually matters here, you'd want to watch National Weather Service forecasts for the LAX area as June 14, 2026 approaches, along with any early seasonal heat or marine-layer patterns. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and June in Los Angeles adds a specific wrinkle: the marine layer. A June marine layer — locals call it 'June Gloom' — can keep LAX noticeably cooler than inland areas, sometimes by 10°F or more. Whether that effect is strong or weak on any given day is difficult to know in advance. The three ranges in this market are all fairly close together, meaning a small swing in conditions easily shifts the outcome between brackets.

The odds right now

• 72-73°F44%
• 74-75°F32%
• 70-71°F17%
• 76-77°F5%
• 68-69°F4%
• 66-67°F1%
• 78-79°F1%
• 64-65°F0%
• 80°F or higher0%
• 61°F or below0%
• 62-63°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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