Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, what will be the hottest temperature of the day in Lucknow, India? The options are buckets — 36°C, 37°C, or 38°C — and whichever range the actual peak temperature falls into wins. To give you a sense of scale: 37°C is about 99°F, and 38°C is about 100°F. June is deep into Lucknow's pre-monsoon hot season, so these temperatures are not unusual there — the question is really about where exactly within that hot range the day lands. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport on June 14, 2026, as logged on the Weather Underground website for that station. The reading is rounded to a whole number in Celsius — no decimals. The result is locked in once the first data point for June 15 appears on that site, after which no corrections to the June 14 data will count. So the key is: one specific station, one specific website, one calendar day, whole degrees only. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Since the event is over a year away, the kind of developments that would matter most are closer-in: seasonal monsoon forecasts for northern India in mid-2026, or any unusual climate patterns (like a delayed monsoon or a heat wave) in the weeks leading up to June 14, 2026. Nothing useful to point to right now. Weather prediction more than a year out is genuinely very difficult — even professional forecasters rarely look beyond two weeks with confidence. June 14 in Lucknow sits right around the typical start of the monsoon season, which adds extra uncertainty: if the monsoon arrives early, clouds and rain can pull temperatures down sharply; if it's delayed, heat stays intense. The difference between 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C is just 1–2 degrees, which is well within the natural day-to-day variation that no model can reliably predict this far in advance.

The odds right now

• 37°C43%
• 38°C24%
• 36°C21%
• 39°C8%
• 35°C5%
• 34°C1%
• 40°C1%
• 41°C0%
• 32°C or below0%
• 33°C0%
• 42°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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