Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Lucknow on June 15, 2026? Participants pick a temperature range — 37°C, 38°C, 39°C, or others — and whoever picked the correct range wins. In plain terms, it's a collective guess at how hot one specific day will get in one of India's most heat-prone cities. June 15 falls right in the middle of Lucknow's brutal pre-monsoon or early-monsoon period, when daily highs routinely push well above 35°C. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow on June 15, 2026, as logged on Weather Underground's station page for that airport. The reading is rounded to a whole degree Celsius — so 38.7°C would count as 38°C, not 39°C. It can only officially close after the first data point for June 16 appears on that page, locking in the final June 15 high. Any corrections to the data published before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. The two news items provided — a Juneteenth celebration in Louisiana and a Malaysian student scholarship program — have no connection to Lucknow's weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would matter to watch: any updates from India's meteorological department about whether the 2026 monsoon is arriving early in Uttar Pradesh, since an early monsoon onset can pull temperatures down noticeably before mid-June. Weather prediction a year out is genuinely difficult, and even short-range forecasts for a single day carry real uncertainty. Lucknow's June 15 high depends on whether the monsoon has arrived — some years it reaches the city before mid-June, cooling things sharply, and other years it's delayed, leaving the heat at its peak. The difference between 37°C and 39°C can hinge on a single cloud system or wind shift. The market's spread across three nearby temperature bands reflects exactly that: small atmospheric changes produce meaningfully different outcomes.

The odds right now

• 38°C32%
• 37°C31%
• 39°C14%
• 36°C8%
• 40°C7%
• 35°C2%
• 41°C1%
• 42°C1%
• 43°C0%
• 34°C or below0%
• 44°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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