Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, what will the hottest reading of the day be at Madrid's main airport weather station? There are three options — 32°C, 33°C, or 34°C (roughly 90°F, 91°F, and 93°F). The market is essentially a temperature forecast broken into buckets, and you pick which bucket the actual peak heat of that specific day falls into. Only one range wins. After June 14 ends, the market checks the official weather history page for Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport on Weather Underground and reads the single highest temperature recorded that day in whole degrees Celsius. Whatever bucket that number falls into — 32, 33, or 34 — is the winner. The reading is locked in once the first data point for June 15 appears on that page; any corrections made after that cutoff are ignored. No recent news relevant to Madrid's weather on June 14, 2026 was provided. What would actually matter here is a short-range weather forecast for Madrid in the days leading up to June 14 — specifically whether a heat system or cooler Atlantic air is moving through the region around that date. Weather forecasting is genuinely hard even a day or two out, let alone further ahead. Madrid in mid-June can range from a comfortable warm day to an early heat wave depending on whether hot air pushes up from North Africa or cooler Atlantic winds arrive instead. The market spreads its weight across three degrees — 34°C at 46%, 33°C at 31%, 32°C at 14% — reflecting real spread in outcomes, not a clear favorite. A single weather system shifting slightly can move the answer by a degree or two.

The odds right now

• 34°C43%
• 33°C28%
• 35°C22%
• 32°C8%
• 36°C2%
• 31°C or below1%
• 37°C0%
• 38°C0%
• 39°C0%
• 40°C0%
• 41°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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