Highest temperature in Manila on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Manila get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day at the airport weather station — and whether that peak lands at 32°C, 33°C, or 34°C. To put those numbers in physical terms: 33°C is about 91°F, a hot and humid tropical afternoon; 34°C (~93°F) is noticeably hotter; 32°C (~90°F) is still warm but slightly cooler than the typical Manila summer peak. The market settles based on the highest temperature logged at Manila's Ninoy Aquino International Airport weather station on June 15, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whichever degree (32, 33, or 34) contains that peak reading wins. The reading is locked in once the first data point for June 16 appears on that site — after that, any corrections to the data are ignored. Temperatures are rounded to whole degrees Celsius, so a reading of 33.7°C would count as 33°C. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The one headline offered — about a Juneteenth event in Alabama — has no connection to Manila weather. To track this market meaningfully, you'd want to watch seasonal forecasts for the Philippines in mid-June, or updates from PAGASA, the Philippine weather agency, as the date approaches. Weather on a single specific day, more than a year away, is genuinely hard to forecast. The market currently leans toward 33°C at 46%, but 32°C and 34°C together account for more than half the probability — meaning the crowd sees real spread across all three options. Mid-June falls near the start of Manila's wet season, when cloud cover and rain can cool peak temperatures, but hot, dry spells can still break through. A one-degree shift in the reading changes the outcome entirely.

The odds right now

• 32°C66%
• 33°C17%
• 34°C11%
• 35°C1%
• 36°C0%
• 28°C or below0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 37°C0%
• 38°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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