Highest temperature in Miami on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 15, 2026, how hot will it get in Miami? Specifically, will the day's peak temperature land in the 88–89°F range, the 90–91°F range, or the 92–93°F range? Only one range wins — whichever one contains the single highest temperature reading recorded that day. Think of it as predicting whether Miami has a typical hot June day, a hotter one, or a cooler one. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport on June 15, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whichever of the three ranges (88–89, 90–91, or 92–93°F) contains that number wins. The reading is in whole degrees only — no decimals. The result is locked in once the first temperature reading for June 16 appears on the site, so any late corrections before that cutoff count, but revisions after that point do not. No relevant weather or climate news was provided for this market. What would actually matter here is any emerging forecast for South Florida around June 15, 2026 — especially signals of unusual heat events, tropical systems affecting airflow, or persistent cloud cover that might push the peak temperature up or down from the seasonal norm. Miami in mid-June is reliably hot, which is why the market clusters tightly around 90–91°F — that range alone draws over half the probability. The main uncertainty is the natural day-to-day variation that makes weather hard to pin down more than a few days out: a sea breeze, cloud cover, or a nearby tropical disturbance can shift the peak by several degrees. The question is genuinely narrow — we're talking about a 4-degree window separating the top two choices.

The odds right now

• 90-91°F47%
• 92-93°F35%
• 88-89°F18%
• 94-95°F4%
• 86-87°F1%
• 96-97°F1%
• 81°F or below0%
• 82-83°F0%
• 84-85°F0%
• 98-99°F0%
• 100°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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