Highest temperature in Milan on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 11, 2026, what will be the hottest temperature of the day in Milan? The three options are 26°C, 27°C, or 28°C — roughly the difference between a warm early-summer day (26°C ≈ 79°F) and a noticeably hot one (28°C ≈ 82°F). Only the single highest reading of the entire day counts, not the average. Whichever temperature bucket that peak reading falls into wins. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Malpensa International Airport on June 11, 2026, as logged by Weather Underground. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — so 26.7°C would count as 27°C, for example. The result is confirmed only after the first data point from June 12 appears on the site, giving time for any last-minute corrections to the June 11 data. After that cut-off, no further revisions are accepted. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of development that would matter here is a long-range seasonal forecast for northern Italy in early June 2026 — for instance, whether meteorologists expect an early heat wave or near-average temperatures for that week. Weather forecasts for a specific date over a year away are essentially impossible to predict with precision — the honest answer is that nobody knows yet. The three options are tightly clustered within just 2 degrees of each other, which means a single warm afternoon breeze or a passing cloud cover could be the deciding factor. The market currently splits almost evenly between 26°C and 27°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than a clear lean in either direction.

The odds right now

• 27°C56%
• 26°C29%
• 28°C14%
• 25°C3%
• 29°C0%
• 24°C0%
• 23°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C or higher0%
• 21°C or below0%
• 22°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.