Highest temperature in Milan on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, what will be the hottest temperature of the day in Milan? The three leading options are 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C — roughly 86°F, 88°F, and 90°F. Think of it as a weather forecast turned into a guessing game: will it be a warm early-summer day, a hot one, or a genuinely sweltering one? The market currently leans toward 31°C being the most likely single answer, but the spread across the three options shows real uncertainty. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded on June 14, 2026, at Milan's Malpensa Airport weather station, as reported by Weather Underground — rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whichever temperature range that number falls into wins. One thing worth knowing: the market can only officially close after the first data point from June 15 appears on that site, confirming the previous day is complete. Any last-minute corrections to June 14's readings are accepted until that cutoff, after which the number is locked in. There is no specific recent news available for this market. That is normal this far out — weather forecasts are not reliable more than about 10 days in advance. What would matter to watch for closer to the date: any seasonal weather outlooks for northern Italy in mid-June, or signs of an unusual heat pattern over Europe in the days leading up to June 14, 2026. Weather is genuinely hard to pin to a single degree a year in advance. Milan in mid-June typically sits in the high 20s to low 30s Celsius, so all three top options are plausible — which is exactly why the odds are spread across them. A passing storm or cloud cover could drop the high by several degrees; a heat wave could push it above 32°C entirely. The one-degree precision required for resolution means even a small swing in conditions changes the outcome. Long-range forecasting simply cannot resolve that level of detail this far out.

The odds right now

• 31°C41%
• 30°C28%
• 32°C27%
• 33°C4%
• 29°C4%
• 34°C1%
• 35°C0%
• 28°C or below0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C0%
• 38°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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