Highest temperature in Milan on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Milan get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day — the peak of the day's heat — rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. The three options are 30°C (86°F), 31°C (88°F), or 32°C (90°F). Think of it as predicting whether that afternoon in Milan will be a warm summer day, a hot one, or a very hot one. The market settles based on one specific number: the highest temperature logged on June 15, 2026, at the Malpensa International Airport weather station near Milan, as shown on Weather Underground. Whatever the peak reading is that day — say, 31°C — the option covering that temperature wins. The result is read only in whole degrees, so decimals are ignored. It can't officially close until the first data point from June 16 appears on the site, to ensure the full day's record is captured. No recent news was provided that's relevant to this market. That's not unusual — it's a weather question about a date more than a year away, so there's nothing to report yet. What would matter closer to the date: seasonal weather forecasts for northern Italy in mid-June, and any early signs of whether summer 2026 is tracking warmer or cooler than average. Weather this far in advance is genuinely hard to forecast — June 15, 2026 is over a year away, and no reliable model can pin down a single day's peak temperature that far out. The market is split almost evenly between 30°C and 31°C, each at 37%, which honestly reflects that uncertainty. Milan in mid-June can range widely depending on whether a heat system pushes in from the south or cooler Atlantic air arrives. The specific airport location also matters, since Malpensa can read differently than the city center.

The odds right now

• 31°C41%
• 30°C36%
• 32°C20%
• 33°C4%
• 29°C or below3%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C0%
• 38°C0%
• 39°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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