Highest temperature in Munich on June 12?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the single highest temperature of the day be in Munich on June 12, 2026? The options are specific degree values — 15°C (about 59°F), 16°C (about 61°F), 17°C (about 63°F), and likely others — and you're picking which one matches the actual peak reading that day. Think of it as guessing the top of the thermometer for one specific day at Munich's airport weather station. After June 12, 2026 ends, the market settles based on the highest temperature recorded that day at Munich Airport Station (EDDM), as shown on Weather Underground. The number is rounded to a whole degree Celsius — so 15.7°C counts as 15°C, not 16°C. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point of June 13 appears before officially closing, and any late corrections to the June 12 reading are accepted until that moment. The only recent headline provided is about a university curriculum review, which has no connection to this market. There is no relevant weather news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch for is any extended weather forecast for Munich in the days leading up to June 12, 2026 — particularly whether a warm front or cold system is expected to pass through. Weather is genuinely hard to predict even days in advance, let alone a year out. Early June in Munich can swing quite a bit — a cloudy, rainy day might peak at 13°C while a sunny stretch can push past 20°C. The market's spread across 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C reflects real uncertainty across a narrow band of cool-ish temperatures, but the actual day could land outside that range entirely. Anything from wind direction to cloud cover on one afternoon can shift the peak by a degree or two.

The odds right now

• 15°C38%
• 16°C31%
• 14°C19%
• 17°C13%
• 13°C3%
• 18°C or higher2%
• 12°C0%
• 10°C0%
• 11°C0%
• 8°C or below0%
• 9°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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