Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 15, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Munich? The answer will come from a single weather station at Munich Airport. Each option — 21°C, 22°C, 23°C, and so on — represents a specific peak temperature for that day, and whichever one the station records wins. Think of it like guessing the highest number you'll see on a Munich thermometer that day. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading logged at Munich Airport Station (EDDM) on June 15, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. It rounds to whole degrees Celsius — so 22.7°C would count as 22°C, not 23°C. The result is locked in once the first data point for June 16 appears; any late corrections to June 15's data after that cutoff are ignored. None of the recent headlines provided — covering politics, education, and international affairs — have any connection to Munich's weather on June 15. There's no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch for is short-range weather forecasts for Munich in the days just before June 15, which is when reliable predictions for that specific day would start to emerge. Weather is genuinely hard to pin to a single degree a year out — or even a week out. The three leading options (21°C, 22°C, 23°C) together account for about 75% of what the market expects, but that still leaves meaningful probability scattered across cooler or hotter outcomes. Mid-June in Munich can bring warm sunshine or a cool, cloudy day depending on which weather system moves through. A difference of just one degree separates the top options, which is a very tight margin for any forecast.

The odds right now

• 22°C35%
• 21°C24%
• 23°C19%
• 20°C10%
• 24°C5%
• 19°C2%
• 18°C1%
• 25°C1%
• 26°C or higher1%
• 17°C0%
• 16°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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