Highest temperature in Munich on June 16?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 16, 2026, what will the hottest reading of the day be at Munich's airport weather station? The three options — 22°C, 23°C, or 24°C — are roughly 72°F, 73°F, and 75°F respectively, so we're talking about a warm early-summer day, and the question is just how warm it gets at its peak. There's no Yes or No here — instead, whichever single temperature the station records as the day's high is the one that wins. The market settles on whichever option matches the peak temperature logged at Munich Airport (station code EDDM) on June 16, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground. The reading is rounded to a whole degree Celsius — so 22.7°C would count as 22°C, not 23°C. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point from June 17 appears before it officially closes, giving the record a short window to be corrected. After that, any later changes to the historical data are ignored. There's no relevant recent news provided for this market — the one headline is about a Juneteenth event in Alabama and has no connection to Munich weather. The kind of news that would actually matter here is short-range weather forecasts for Munich around June 16, 2026, or any unusual early-summer heat patterns in central Europe. Those forecasts won't be meaningful until a few days before the date. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and a single-degree difference is a very fine target. The market leans toward 22°C at 45%, which reflects historical averages for mid-June in Munich, but summer temperatures can swing several degrees based on whether a warm front moves through or cloud cover holds. The airport station sits outside the city center, so local microclimates can add another layer of unpredictability. This is a tight, honest question with real meteorological uncertainty right up until the day itself.

The odds right now

• 22°C44%
• 23°C31%
• 21°C17%
• 24°C10%
• 20°C2%
• 25°C1%
• 26°C1%
• 18°C or below0%
• 19°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 16, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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