Highest temperature in NYC on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will New York City get on June 13, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know which two-degree temperature band will contain the single hottest moment of that day, measured at LaGuardia Airport. A 'Yes' on 88–89°F means the day peaks somewhere in that range — warm but not scorching. A 'Yes' on 90–91°F means it tips into a proper heat day. A 'Yes' on 86–87°F means it stays a bit cooler than the middle option. After June 13, 2026 ends, the market checks Weather Underground's official record for LaGuardia Airport (station code KLGA) and finds the single highest temperature logged that day, rounded to a whole degree Fahrenheit. Whatever two-degree band contains that number is the winner. There's a small but important detail: the reading can be revised slightly until the first data point of June 14 appears — after that, the final recorded high is locked in, and the market settles based on that number. No recent news was provided that relates to this market. That makes sense — June 13, 2026 is still over a year away, so there's nothing meaningful to report yet. What would eventually matter is the extended weather forecast for New York City as that date approaches, and whether any unusual heat patterns are developing across the northeastern United States in early June 2026. Weather more than a year out is genuinely impossible to predict with precision — even professional forecasters rarely reach beyond two weeks with confidence. The market currently leans toward 88–89°F at 51%, which is a reasonable mid-June average for New York City, but a single passing weather system in either direction could shift the actual high by four or five degrees. The two-degree resolution bands make this especially sensitive: a day that peaks at exactly 90°F lands in a completely different bucket than one that peaks at 89°F.

The odds right now

• 88-89°F42%
• 90-91°F39%
• 86-87°F14%
• 92-93°F6%
• 84-85°F2%
• 94-95°F1%
• 96-97°F0%
• 82-83°F0%
• 81°F or below0%
• 98-99°F0%
• 100°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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