Highest temperature in NYC on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will New York City get on June 14, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at LaGuardia Airport — and which two-degree range that peak lands in. A 'Yes' for any given range means the hottest moment of that day fell inside those two degrees. Think of it like guessing the peak reading on a thermometer: not the average, not the morning low — just the hottest point of the whole day. The market settles based on the highest temperature logged at LaGuardia Airport (station code KLGA) on June 14, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground. Whichever two-degree band — 86–87°F, 88–89°F, or 90–91°F — contains that peak reading wins. The number is rounded to the nearest whole degree. The market won't close until the first data point from June 15 appears, meaning last-minute revisions to June 14's readings can still count, but any corrections made after that cutoff are ignored. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Since this is a weather question about a specific day more than a year away, the kind of development worth watching would be seasonal forecasts or climate pattern signals (like El Niño or La Niña) as June 2026 approaches — though even those only become meaningfully accurate within a week or two of the date. Weather this far in advance is genuinely unpredictable — no forecast is reliable more than about ten days out. The market's three leading ranges are spread across just a six-degree window (86–91°F), and the odds are fairly close: 37% for 88–89°F, 28% for 86–87°F, and 27% for 90–91°F. Mid-June in NYC can vary a lot — some years are humid and hot, others mild. A passing cold front or a heat dome on that exact day can shift the peak by several degrees, and that single day's quirks are essentially unknowable this far out.

The odds right now

• 88-89°F39%
• 90-91°F28%
• 86-87°F24%
• 84-85°F6%
• 92-93°F6%
• 83°F or below1%
• 94-95°F0%
• 96-97°F0%
• 98-99°F0%
• 100-101°F0%
• 102°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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