Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the highest temperature in Paris be on June 14, 2026 — specifically at Le Bourget Airport — measured to the nearest whole degree Celsius? The three options are 25°C (about 77°F), 26°C (about 79°F), or 27°C (about 81°F). A 'Yes' on any one option simply means the thermometer peaks at that exact number that day. It's a weather question, not a financial one — you're essentially guessing what the afternoon high will be in Paris on a specific June day. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on June 14, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's history page for that station. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — so 25.7°C would count as 25°C, for example. The final reading is locked in once the first data point for June 15 appears on that site. After that cutoff, any corrections to the data won't count. The station used is Le Bourget, not central Paris, so microclimates could matter slightly. No recent news was provided that relates to Paris weather on June 14, 2026. The two headlines supplied are about Indian politics and a G7 summit — both unrelated to this market. The most relevant thing to watch for would be weather forecasts for Paris in the days leading up to June 14, particularly any forecast highs from services covering the Le Bourget area. Weather, even a few days out, carries real unpredictability. The market currently leans toward 25°C (36%) and 26°C (32%), with 27°C further behind at 12% — meaning the remaining probability is spread across temperatures outside that range too. June in Paris can vary: a passing cloud system or a warm continental air mass could push the result in either direction. The measurement is also at an airport, which can read differently than the city center. Until we're within a day or two of June 14, forecasts carry genuine uncertainty.

The odds right now

• 26°C43%
• 25°C33%
• 27°C12%
• 24°C6%
• 28°C5%
• 23°C1%
• 22°C1%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C or higher0%
• 20°C or below0%
• 21°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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