Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Qingdao get on June 11, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at Qingdao's main airport weather station. The three possible answers are temperature ranges — roughly 30°C (86°F) or above, around 23°C (73°F), or 21°C (70°F) or below. Think of it as a weather forecast question with a specific location and a specific date. The market settles based on the peak temperature logged at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on June 11, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whichever temperature range contains that recorded high is the winner. The data must be measured in whole degrees Celsius — no decimals. The result is locked in once the first reading from June 12 appears on the site, after which no corrections to June 11's data will count. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. For a weather-outcome market like this, what would matter closer to the date are seasonal forecasts, regional climate patterns for early June in Qingdao, or any unusual weather systems developing over the Yellow Sea — but those details simply aren't available yet at this distance. June 2026 is over a year away, which makes this almost impossible to predict with confidence right now. Weather forecasts lose meaningful accuracy beyond about two weeks. Qingdao sits on the coast of northeast China, where early June temperatures can vary considerably — warm dry air pushing in from inland versus cooler sea breezes can swing daily highs by ten degrees or more. The market currently prices 30°C as a near-certainty, but that reflects early positioning, not a reliable forecast.

The odds right now

• 30°C100%
• 23°C0%
• 21°C or below0%
• 22°C0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 31°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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