Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Qingdao, China on June 14, 2026? Qingdao is a coastal city in eastern China. The question is split into buckets — the market is essentially asking whether that day's peak heat lands at 26°C (about 79°F), 27°C (81°F), 28°C (82°F), or something else. It's a fairly narrow range, reflecting that mid-June in Qingdao is warm but moderated by the sea. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on June 14, 2026, pulled from the weather history site Weather Underground. Whatever whole-degree Celsius number appears as the daily high — say, 27°C — that's the bucket that wins. The result can only be confirmed after the first data point for June 15 appears on that site, so there's a brief window where the reading could still be revised. No recent news relevant to this market was provided. The only headline supplied is about an unrelated geopolitical event. What would actually matter here is any extended weather forecast for eastern China around June 14, 2026 — things like an approaching high-pressure system, unusual heat patterns, or a cold sea breeze forecast would all be meaningful signals to watch for closer to the date. Weather forecasting this far out — roughly a year ahead — is genuinely unreliable, even for professional meteorologists. The market currently favors 26°C at around 47%, with 27°C and 28°C splitting most of the remaining probability. Qingdao's coastal location means sea breezes can cap temperatures unpredictably, but occasional hot inland air can push them higher. Even a week out, a single weather system shifting its track could move the peak temperature by several degrees. The spread across multiple buckets honestly reflects that uncertainty.

The odds right now

• 26°C47%
• 27°C25%
• 25°C15%
• 28°C9%
• 30°C or higher3%
• 29°C2%
• 20°C or below0%
• 21°C0%
• 22°C0%
• 23°C0%
• 24°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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