Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 13, 2026, how hot will it get in San Francisco? Specifically, it's asking you to pick a two-degree temperature range — like 76–77°F or 74–75°F — that will match the single highest temperature recorded that day. It's not about the average temperature or how warm the morning feels; it's purely about the peak, the hottest reading of the whole day, measured at San Francisco International Airport. After June 13, 2026 ends, the market checks one specific data source — Weather Underground's records for San Francisco International Airport (station code KSFO) — and finds the highest temperature logged that day, rounded to a whole number in Fahrenheit. Whichever two-degree range contains that number wins. For example, if the peak reading is 77°F, the 76–77°F range resolves Yes. The market waits until the first data point for June 14 appears before finalizing, to allow any same-day corrections to be captured. No recent news was provided that relates to this market. For a question like this, what would actually matter to watch for closer to the date is the seasonal weather pattern for early-to-mid June in San Francisco — including whether any unusual heat events or marine layer conditions are forecast for that specific day. San Francisco's weather is genuinely hard to pin down even a day in advance, let alone a year out. The city sits between the cool Pacific Ocean and the warmer Bay, so a slight shift in wind direction can swing daily highs by 10°F or more. The market's odds are spread fairly evenly across several ranges — 74–75°F at 25%, 76–77°F at 27%, 78–79°F at 17% — which honestly reflects how wide the uncertainty is. No forecast model can reliably predict a specific two-degree window a year ahead.

The odds right now

• 76-77°F28%
• 74-75°F22%
• 78-79°F18%
• 72-73°F13%
• 80-81°F8%
• 82-83°F4%
• 70-71°F4%
• 69°F or below2%
• 84-85°F1%
• 86-87°F0%
• 88°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.