Highest temperature in Seattle on June 13?
What you need to know
This market is asking a simple weather question: how hot will Seattle get on June 13, 2026? Specifically, it asks which two-degree temperature band will contain the day's peak temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. A high of 80°F or 81°F would mean the top bracket wins; a high of 78°F or 79°F would mean the lower bracket wins, and so on. Think of it like guessing which notch on a thermometer the afternoon heat peaks at. After June 13, 2026 ends, the market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded that day at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (station KSEA), pulled from Weather Underground. The temperature must be a whole-degree Fahrenheit number, and it gets matched to whichever bracket contains it. One small detail: the market waits until the first data point from June 14 appears before it officially closes — so very late-night readings on the 13th are still counted. The two news items provided are unrelated to Seattle weather, so there is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch is any extended forecast for Seattle around June 13 — particularly whether a marine layer, heat ridge, or unusual weather pattern is expected to move through the Pacific Northwest that week. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and a year in advance it's essentially impossible to forecast a specific day's high temperature. The market is spread across several brackets, with the 80–81°F range leading at 34% and no single outcome close to certain. Seattle's June weather can swing based on whether cool marine air pushes inland or a heat ridge builds over the region — small shifts in either direction can easily move the peak a few degrees.
The odds right now
- 82-83°F28%
- 80-81°F23%
- 84-85°F21%
- 78-79°F16%
- 86°F or higher6%
- 76-77°F5%
- 74-75°F2%
- 72-73°F0%
- 67°F or below0%
- 68-69°F0%
- 70-71°F0%
Price history
82-83°F
How this resolves
Resolves June 13, 2026
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Related
Other outcomes in this market
- 82-83°F28%
- 80-81°F23%
- 84-85°F21%
- 78-79°F16%
- 86°F or higher6%
- 76-77°F5%
- 74-75°F2%
- 72-73°F0%
- See all 11 outcomes →
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