Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 16, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in the Seoul area, measured in whole degrees Celsius? The answer options are specific temperature values — 27°C, 28°C, 29°C, and others — and whichever one matches the actual recorded peak temperature that day wins. Think of it like guessing the high on a weather forecast, but for one specific day far in the future. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Incheon International Airport on June 16, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website for that station. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — no decimals. The final number is locked in once the first data point for June 17 appears on that page, after which any later corrections to the June 16 data are ignored. The only news provided is about an Indian political figure and has no connection to Seoul weather or this market. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch closer to the date is Seoul's early-June weather patterns and any seasonal forecasts for mid-June temperatures in the region. Weather a full year out is genuinely unpredictable — no forecast tool can reliably tell you the exact high temperature on a specific day that far in advance. June in Seoul typically brings warm, sometimes humid pre-monsoon conditions, but the exact peak on any given day varies. The three leading options (27°C, 28°C, 29°C) are priced closely together, which honestly reflects how wide-open this question is even as the date approaches.

The odds right now

• 29°C33%
• 28°C27%
• 30°C18%
• 27°C14%
• 26°C6%
• 31°C5%
• 32°C or higher1%
• 25°C1%
• 24°C1%
• 23°C0%
• 22°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 16, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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