Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, what will the hottest point of the day be at Shanghai's Pudong Airport — specifically, which single degree Celsius will it hit? The three leading options are 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C (roughly 73–77°F), which are mild early-summer temperatures for Shanghai. A 'Yes' for any one option means the day's peak temperature lands exactly on that number — not a range, just that one whole-degree reading. After June 14, 2026 ends, the market settles based on the single highest temperature reading logged that day at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, pulled from Weather Underground's historical data page for that station. The temperature is rounded to a whole number in Celsius — so 24.7°C would count as 24°C, not 25°C. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point from June 15 appears before it closes, allowing any same-day corrections to the June 14 readings to be captured first. No relevant weather news was provided — the only headline supplied is about Indian politics, which has no connection to this market. For this kind of question, what would actually matter is seasonal weather pattern data or long-range forecasts for Shanghai in mid-June, neither of which was included here. Weather on a specific future date roughly a year away is genuinely hard to predict — even professional forecasters can't reliably pin down a single city's high temperature that far out. The spread across the three leading options (23°C, 24°C, 25°C) reflects real uncertainty, with the market seeing 24°C as slightly more likely but no option commanding a strong majority. June in Shanghai can vary noticeably depending on whether a cool front or humid warm air is passing through, and that kind of day-to-day variation is essentially unpredictable this far in advance.

The odds right now

• 24°C48%
• 25°C26%
• 23°C16%
• 26°C8%
• 22°C3%
• 27°C1%
• 28°C1%
• 29°C1%
• 21°C0%
• 30°C or higher0%
• 20°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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